The 2025 UEFA Champions League final is set to be an exciting showdown between Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) and Inter Milan. As the two teams prepare to battle it out for Europe's most prestigious club trophy, let's take a closer look at what to expect.
PSG, the dominant force in French football, have had an impressive season. They secured their 10th Ligue 1 title in 12 years and also triumphed in the French Cup. In the Champions League, they have shown their class by defeating strong teams like Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Arsenal on their way to the final. Their attack, led by the likes of Ousmane Dembélé, who has been in sensational form with 8 goals and 4 assists in the Champions League this season, is a major threat. However, they have some concerns. Centre-back Presnel Kimpembe is out due to a foot injury, which weakens their defense, especially considering 40% of their goals conceded come from set-pieces. Also, Dembélé's fatigue is a factor to watch.
Inter Milan, on the other hand, narrowly missed out on winning Serie A and the Coppa Italia but have been outstanding in the Champions League. They eliminated Feyenoord, Bayern Munich, and Barcelona to reach the final. Lautaro Martínez has been their goal-scoring hero with 9 goals in the Champions League, although he has a minor thigh muscle injury and his fitness will be crucial. The midfield duo of Hakan Çalhanoğlu, with a remarkable 87% long pass success rate and 7 key assists, and Henrikh Mkhitaryan, who is carrying a knee injury, will play important roles in dictating the tempo of the game.
Tactically, PSG typically rely on high possession and intricate passing to break down defenses. Their average possession rate of 69% in Ligue 1 shows their control. Vítor Hugo Oliveira, with a 91% pass success rate, is key in orchestrating the play. They will look to exploit the right flank with Dembélé's blistering pace against Inter's left-back. However, their high pressing game can leave them vulnerable at the back, especially on the right side when Achraf Hakimi makes attacking runs, as opponents have capitalized on these spaces in 27% of counter-attacks.
Inter Milan, known for their solid defense and clinical counter-attacks, will likely look to soak up pressure and hit PSG on the break. Their three - center - back system has been rock-solid in the Champions League, conceding only 0.6 goals per game on average. Stefan de Vrij, Milan Škriniar, and Alessandro Bastoni form a formidable defensive unit. They are also dangerous from set-pieces, with 35% of their goals coming from such situations, and Dumfries has an impressive 71% aerial duel success rate.
In terms of statistics, models suggest that PSG have a 41.9% chance of winning in normal time, while Inter Milan have a 36.2% chance, with a 21.9% probability of a draw. If the game goes to extra time and penalties, Inter Milan might have an edge as Sommer has a 37% penalty save rate compared to Gianluigi Donnarumma's 29%.
This Champions League final promises to be a closely contested battle. Both teams have the quality and determination to lift the trophy, and it will ultimately come down to which side can execute their game plan better on the day.
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